Oliver's Insights for January 2013
This note looks at the deal to avert the US fiscal cliff along with its debt ceiling and broader economic outlook. Generally pretty positive for 2013 (easy reading). Enjoy! Rick Maggi. Read here
29/08/13: Another Asian market crisis?
Potential implications for investors...
AMP Capital's Dr Shane Oliver weighs in on the recent round in emerging market currencies and assets. A cautionary article worth a read. Rick Maggi. Read more here
22/08/13: Franking Credits 101
What are Franking Credits?
With the Coalition's plan to impose a 1.5% levy on the top 3200 companies in Australia to help pay for their six-month paid parental leave proposal, we've had a few questions about franking credits and how the proposal might impact investors and retirees. While the full details are yet to be announced, based on the current rumours, the actual impact on franked dividends would be fairly minimal - much ado about nothing. The following is a back to basics explanation of franking credits for the uninitiated… What are Franking Credits?
19/08/13: The Broccoli & Pizza Portfolio
Insights from Dimensional's Jim Parker
It's often hard to give up on the idea that investment should be exciting - an interesting article from Dimensional VP, Jim Parker. Rick Maggi Read more here.
15/08/13: Australian property - Saviour or Bubble?
Are we at the beginning of a property bubble?
An excellent summary of the current residential property market, and where it is likely heading. Enjoy. Rick Maggi. Read more here
05/08/13: Consistency over the long term
Australian and international equities. Which sector performed the best?
Picking the market sector that will outperform and timing it to maximise returns is a difficult thing to do. Produced by Vanguard Australia, the following tables graphically illustrate the performance of different sectors (within the Australian share market) and the performance of different regions (international shares).
The take away is simple one. Building a portfolio within broadly diversified equity funds at the core can help lower risk and smooth out peaks and troughs in returns over time. Rick Maggi
08/08/13: The Federal Election
Implication for investors...
In this article AMP Capital's Dr Shane Oliver takes a look at potential implications for investors as move towards and beyond the Federal Election. Interesting reading. Rick Maggi. The Federal Election
26/07/13: The Vanguard Index Chart 2012-13 (Westmount Clients Only)
Some eye candy...
Every year Vanguard releases it's 'Vanguard Index Chart' and it's always worth a look. The chart illustrates what the value of $10,000 invested twenty years ago might be worth today had you invested in various sectors such as Australian shares, commercial property, cash etc. Along the twenty-year journey you see the impact of important events (both positive and negative) such as 9/11, US subprime and the Japanese Tsunami on markets and the value of the original investment. Vanguard also includes a second graph, called 'the power of diversification' which shows the performance of each sector in percentage terms, every year, for the last twenty years.
Seeing visual proof of market volatility (all of them), each having their day in the sun, followed by less than happy times, serves as a potent reminder of the importance of diversification and patience. We can all do with some gentle encouragement, especially during tougher, challenging times, so I like to keep this chart on my wall! Rick Maggi. View charts here
26/07/13: New normal, old story
'Outside the Flags' by Dimensional VP, Jim Parker
"Low returns are shaping as the new normal" That was the headline in The Australian Financial Review in early July 2012 in anticipation of another grim year on global equity markets for Australian investors. How did that forecast turn out? Rick Maggi Read more here
25/07/13: Investment outlook after a strong financial year
Dr Shane Oliver...
The last financial year saw returns of over 20% from Australian and global shares, so what's in store for 2013/14? Rick Maggi Read more here
12/07/13: Second guessing
A commentary from Dimensional's Jim Parker...
Markets have had a rocky time lately. Is this something to worry about? Rick Maggi Read here
02/07/13: Happy New Year!
New Financial Year. Fresh Start.
Want to be kept informed in real-time? Tired of stale, irrelevant websites and blogs? Subscribe to our free updates here. Happy New Year! Rick Maggi & Staff.
01/07/13: Why 'core-satellite' makes sense...
Can funds really outperform the market?
In this brief article, Vanguard's Robin Bowerman takes another look at the merits of 'indexing'. Not sure what indexing is? Then you might want to read-up on it as it has the potential to boost your investment or retirement outcome and reduce your costs.
Also included is a more detailed (but user friendly) look at indexing from Vanguard's 'Plain Talk' library. Worth a read. Rick Maggi.
18/06/12: Greek election "a victory for all of Europe"
Pro-austerity parties to rule...
Markets are breathing a sigh of relief after yesterday's elections in Greece, with the moderate centre-right party winning enough seats to govern in a coalition with another, established pro-austerity party. At the time of writing, share markets have rebounded strongly on the positive news. Watch video here. Rick Maggi
13/06/13: Jumping off the Currency Cart
Why should it matter to you as an investor?
In this brief article, Dimensional's Jim Parker comments on currency speculators and just how spectacularly wrong most individual and professional investors get it. A good read. Rick Maggi. Jumping Off the Currency Cart
06/06/13: Recent market losses
Sell in May and go away, or something more sinister?
Recent share market falls have taken some of the lustre from the stellar gains we've witnessed over the last year, although investment returns remain extraordinary to date. So is the perennial "sell in May and go away" behind the recent market correction or is there more to it than that? The following is an easy to understand three-minute video commentary (just released) from AMP Capital's Dr Shane Oliver that should help to calm the nerves... Rick Maggi. Watch Video
07/05/13: The Aussie dollar - is the best really behind it?
Where to from here?
Has the Australian dollar peaked? What can we expect going forward? What can you do to take advantage? Rick Maggi. Read more here
07/05/13: Alert: Cash rate cut by 25 basis points
The comfort and safety of Term Deposits is a double-edged sword...
The Reserve Bank of Australia has just reduced the cash rate by 0.25% to 2.75% effective 8 May 2013. The RBA's Media Release is below. This action is in response to a slowing Australian economy (unemployment is rising, retail and government spending is falling, mining is sluggish, and taxes are set to rise).
Leading brokers are now predicting that our cash rate is headed to 2% and billionaire investor George Soros is betting that the Australian dollar will fall. Against this backdrop, interest rates are likely to continue their drift downwards, which is bad news for term deposit investors, and will probably encourage more Australians back into higher dividend yielding shares, much like the recent American experience (US markets are now trading about 4% above their all-time highs, primarily on the back of very low interest rates).
As the Australian market remains 23% below pre-GFC levels, it is quite conceivable that our markets will get a boost from falling interest rates, provided the global picture doesn't deteriorate. Rick Maggi. RBA Statement
06/05/13: No Free Lunches
What is the real cost of investment certainty?
An excerpt from Jim Parker's 'Outside the Flags' (Vice President at Dimensional Australia) discusses the hidden risks of "certain" outcomes and capital guarantees. Worth a quick read. Rick Maggi. Read No Free Lunches' here
02/05/13: Japan's monetary easing and global markets
What are the implications for Australia?
Following the recent changes to Japan's monetary policy, AMP Capital's Dr Shane Oliver discusses it's implications for global share markets. Rick Maggi. Watch Now