Bonds

30/10/14: Punchbowl removed: The end of 'Quantitative Easing'

End of an era… After a year long phasing down period, last night the US Federal Reserve finally ended its quantitative easing (QE) program, introduced at the height of the Global Financial Crisis back in 2008.

Since the worst days of the GFC, unemployment has fallen, consumers are spending again, businesses are investing and banks are lending. So after all is said and done, QE seems to have actually worked - the US economy is now well and truly into expansion mode and looking a lot stronger than Europe and Japan that have taken longer to adopt QE.

It would be fair to say that, while the US economy isn't exactly booming, the Fed Reserve's decision to take the economy off life-support was, at least for now, an important sign that the US may now be able to finally stand on its own two feet.

While the punch-bowl may have been removed from the table, the music continues to play. Consistent with the Fed Reserve's softly, softly approach, they've also indicated that interest rates won't be going up in a hurry, even as the US economy continues to recover - an encouraging signal to the US (and the rest of the world) that concrete evidence of a sustainable recovery will be needed before interest rates are finally raised in earnest.

The ending of US QE is also a positive for Australia and removes a source of upwards pressure on the Australian dollar (great for exporters).

Rick Maggi Westmount I Financial Solutions

19/10/14: Comment: FOFA amendments disallowed

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Should you care?

Back in July, the government negotiated a deal with Clive Palmer to save the 'FOFA' (Future of Financial Advice) amendments. However this morning two cross benchers (Senators Lambie and Muir) did an about-face and joined Labor senators opposing the government's FOFA agenda. We can only assume that we will now see the return of FOFA (the'full-strength' version) unless a compromise can be found.

Considering Senator Lambie's recent clashes with PUP leader Clive Palmer, this seems more like a personal grudge, along with a good helping of political naivety. But for better or worse, that's the system we now have.

So exactly what does this mean for you, as a client of a financial adviser? Hysteria and vested interests aside, probably very little.

If you already have a good relationship with a non-aligned financial adviser who provides an efficient and meaningful service to you at a fair price, you won't notice much (or any) change to the way he or she interacts with you.

Let's not forget that FOFA (Labor's full strength version) was introduced almost 18 months ago which, among other things, effectively banned investment commissions and ramped-up disclosure requirements, creating a more transparent, trusting environment for investors, retirees and professional financial advisors alike. And contrary to media reports, this law was welcomed by virtually all concerned, including financial advisors, and continues to this day.

The FOFA amendments or FOFA 'lite' (introduced by the Liberals) sought to reduce some of the new law's excessive 'red-tape' without jeopardising the lion's share of consumer protections. Personally, I thought a regulatory adjustment made some sense, but that's history now.

I've spent over 30 years in financial services and I believe that the vast majority of financial advisers I've known over this time are ethical, educated, well-meaning people who sincerely want the very best for their clients, and to also run profitable practices for themselves, their families, and their employees. That's just good business.

So naturally, it has been disappointing to see the reputations and motives of solid professionals being publicly denigrated during this lengthy, polarising process.

My advice is to ignore the cynics with obvious vested interests. If you're comfortable with your current financial adviser, hold on tight and follow your own instincts, chances are you're in very good hands.

Time to move forward.

Rick Maggi

17/01/14: The Year Ahead

19/12/13: The Fed finally tapers

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...and what it means for investors

Overnight the US Federal Reserve announced that it will begin carefully and slowly scaling back its massive stimulus program next month. It is the central bank's first step towards winding back the stimulus that has helped the US recover from its worst recession since the 1930s and a sign that the US economy is recovering.

In response, the US share market surged by almost 2% and at the time of writing, local markets are up by about 1.5%. Our local currency immediately dropped to 88.18 US cents but then quickly recovered to 89.45 US cents as investors digested the news. Most importantly, this should be viewed as good news. AMP Capital's Dr Shane Oliver discusses the implications for investors here. Rick Maggi (Westmount. Financial Solutions.)

01/09/13: The US fiscal cliff, debt ceiling and economic outlook.

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Oliver's Insights for January 2013

This note looks at the deal to avert the US fiscal cliff along with its debt ceiling and broader economic outlook. Generally pretty positive for 2013 (easy reading). Enjoy! Rick Maggi. Read here

12/04/13: Are we in for another bout of weakness?

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Olivers Insights

After a strong start to the year, share markets have had a few wobbles lately and bonds have rallied again. Sell in May and go away? Rick Maggi. Read more here

30/03/12: Should super funds have more bonds?

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Shares or Bonds?

In this article, Dr Shane Oliver looks at the recent move to the relative safety of bonds and whether now is the right time to be making the shift. Read more here

16/10/12: Managing super in challenging times

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Your questions answered...

The last few years since the GFC have been difficult for investors - each time share markets take a step forward, changes in the global economy pull them back. Paul Clitheroe joins AMP Capital's Dr Shane Oliver to provide their views on where share markets are placed and how to navigate the period ahead. Also included is a link on the Eurozone (easy reading). Enjoy. Rick Maggi.

Watch video here          Read Eurozone update here

14/08/12: If you invested $10,000 thirty years ago...

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The Vanguard 2012 Index Chart

There's nothing quite like time to smooth out the rough patches and provide investors with some perspective. This chart, just released by Vanguard, shows what would have happened to a $10,000 investment made in 1982 had an investor selected either Australian shares, international shares, US shares, listed property, Australian bonds or cash. While the final result will likely surprise many, I believe the wide gap between Australian shares and cash is the standout statistic. View Chart Here

27/07/12: The search for a decent yield

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Oliver's Insights

The uncertain investment environment and poor returns from shares since the GFC has seen the popularity of bank deposits surge while that of shares has collapsed. With term deposit rates falling it makes sense for investors to consider some of the alternatives. This article, written by Dr Shane Oliver of AMP Capital, takes a closer look at some of the options available.  Rick Maggi. Read more here

28/06/12: What about the US?

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Greek relief for now - but what about the US?

In addition to providing a brief update on Europe, this note (courtesy of AMP Capital) focusses on the US economy, both in terms of the slowdown evident in some economic indicators and the impending fiscal tightening from January 1 next year. Read more here

13/04/12: When cash is king, what does tomorrow hold?

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The importance of diversification...

The Australian love affair with cash has been understandable one since the beginning of the GFC. Where else could you get a guaranteed, government backed asset paying 5% plus while all around was failing miserably? Vanguard's Robin Bowerman highlights investors to the age old 'health warning' that applies to all investments - namely that past performance is no guarantee that the future will deliver the same outcome.  Rick Maggi  Read here

13/02/12: Warren Buffett: Why stocks beat gold and bonds

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Warren Buffet

At a time when many investors have become jaded and cynical about shares, often tempted to run to the relative 'safety' of cash or bonds, Warren Buffett's shareholder letter explains why it may pay too be a little more patient. Enjoy. Rick Maggi  Read article here

16/12/11: Behold the beauty of bonds

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An outstanding year for Bonds...

Vanguard's Robin Bowerman focuses on the outstanding performance of bonds during 2011, but also highlights the age old importance of diversification.   Rick Maggi  Read here