A quick look at the valuations of the so called FAANMG group of stocks – Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Net ix, Microsoft and Google – and it certainly feels like it we’re in a tech stocks bubble a-la the late 1990s.
However, if we compare valuations of this group to historical valuations during the major global asset bubbles over the last 40 years, it’s possible FAANMG and tech generally might not be as overvalued they might seem.
The average price/earnings multiple of this group might be high at around 40-times, but
this level is not overly onerous for a group of technology stocks, says Dr Shane Oliver, AMP Capital’s Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist.
“Yes, you’ve seen a rise in these stocks and that is a concern; at some point tech stocks will take a back seat as the US starts to withdraw from Quantitative Easing and focus on Quantitative Tightening and we will start to see cyclical stocks like materials performing better,”
But does that mean we’re going to see another tech-stock crash?